NEC Nijmegen 6-0 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 3 Nov 2024

NEC Nijmegen
6-0 HT 3-0
Groningen
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.77
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
15%
7.58
X/X
9%
4.19
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
9%
5.69
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
28%
-7.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NEC Nijmegen v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.67/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
+16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.4 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Groningen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
307 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.04.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
26.08.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
12.03.2022 Groningen Groningen 4-3 HT 2-3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
19.01.2022 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 1-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOK
31.10.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
05.04.2017 Groningen Groningen 2-0 HT 1-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL

NEC Nijmegen 6-0 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
6-0
AWAY Groningen
3.45 xG 0.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
407 Passes 202
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen swept aside Groningen 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 62% of the ball to Groningen's 38%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 3.45 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.33 for Groningen.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

NEC Nijmegen 6-0 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 47%, draw 21%, Groningen 31%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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