Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 Urawa Red (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
12.23
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
70%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
6%
+4.7pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.3pp
70%
Away Win
80%
-10.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.22/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.93/0.59
-60% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -9%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 569 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
14.04.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-5 HT 0-5 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Urawa Red (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) and Urawa Red (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Urawa Red (K) carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Urawa Red (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 3.50 for Urawa Red (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 Urawa Red (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 10%, draw 20%, Urawa Red (K) 70%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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