Shakhter Karagandy 1-3 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
48%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.2pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.4pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-18.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+16.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-16.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 71%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.92/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.99
+10% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhter Karagandy
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aktobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
15.07.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
03.06.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
02.07.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 2-3 HT 2-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
03.04.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
27.06.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe got the better of Shakhter Karagandy 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shakhter Karagandy and 1.33 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe?

Shakhter Karagandy 1-3 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shakhter Karagandy 22%, draw 30%, Aktobe 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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