Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
26%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
69%
-16.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+13.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 16%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.60
+46% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-3 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
28.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
26.01.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 HT 3-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.10.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
27.03.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 5-1 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
09.09.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa saw off Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dorados De Sinaloa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 2.67 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorados De Sinaloa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 52%, draw 21%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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