Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.27/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.40
-16% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
16.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
20.11.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-2 HT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
17.11.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
23.02.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-2 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
20.07.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tepatitlán de Morelos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 2.50 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 42%, draw 33%, Mineros de Zacatecas 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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