Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.34/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.97
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
05.06.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-6 HT 1-3 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
28.03.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
31.10.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
15.08.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
03.06.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno squeezed past Sportivo Trinidense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Luqueno found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 38% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 62%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 2.17 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 35%, draw 29%, Sportivo Trinidense 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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