Caldas 1-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.79/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.72
-39% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
0W-1D-2L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 CF Os Belenenses 2-1 HT 2-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
19.02.2023 Caldas Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
06.11.2022 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
1-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas and CF Os Belenenses shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Caldas had 51% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 49%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Caldas and 1.33 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses?

Caldas 1-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caldas 43%, draw 22%, CF Os Belenenses 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caldas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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