Dezembro 2-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.89
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico CP
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-1 HT 0-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
17.12.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
03.09.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 3-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
2-1
AWAY Atletico CP
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro nicked a narrow win over Atletico CP 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Dezembro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 40% of the ball to Atletico CP's 60%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico CP led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dezembro and 1.67 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Atletico CP?

Dezembro 2-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 34%, draw 28%, Atletico CP 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
3 Nov 2024
20:30 Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →