Universitatea Craiova 1-1 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.78/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.03
+16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
26.0 Crosses 8.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FCSB
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
3.18 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
07.04.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
28.01.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-3 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
02.09.2023 FCSB FCSB 3-0 HT 3-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
30.04.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
18.03.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-1
AWAY FCSB
1.68 xG 0.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 435
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova and FCSB couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 40% of the ball to FCSB's 60%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.68 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.83 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB?

Universitatea Craiova 1-1 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 37%, draw 29%, FCSB 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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