Al Safa 3-2 Al Batin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Batin EU Bookmakers 45%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.65/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.77
-39% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Batin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
31.01.2024 Al Batin Al Batin 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
22.08.2023 Al Safa Al Safa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Batin Al Batin SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
3-2
AWAY Al Batin
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Batin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa edged past Al Batin 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Batin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 54% of the ball to Al Batin's 46%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Safa and 1.00 for Al Batin.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Batin?

Al Safa 3-2 Al Batin in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Batin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Batin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 26%, draw 28%, Al Batin 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Batin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Batin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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