Ohod 1-3 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

Ohod
1-3 HT 1-1
Arabi
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ohod EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.05/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.08
+0% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
240 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ohod
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Arabi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Arabi 3-2 HT 3-1 Ohod Ohod SUUD1
28.02.2023 Arabi 0-2 HT 0-2 Ohod Ohod SUUD1
04.10.2022 Ohod Ohod 1-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ohod
1-3
AWAY Arabi
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ohod vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi got the better of Ohod 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ohod had 44% of the ball to Arabi's 56%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ohod and 1.33 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Ohod vs Arabi?

Ohod 1-3 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ohod vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ohod 28%, draw 27%, Arabi 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5
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