Al Faisaly 0-1 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -16%
1.55/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.61
+16% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 5-2 HT 1-1 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah SUUD1
03.10.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
0-1
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bukayriyah squeezed past Al Faisaly 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Faisaly at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 49% of the ball to Al Bukayriyah's 51%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.00 for Al Bukayriyah.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Bukayriyah?

Al Faisaly 0-1 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 42%, draw 23%, Al Bukayriyah 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Faisaly) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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