Zarzis 1-0 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

Zarzis
1-0 HT 0-0
CA Bizertin
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Zarzis vs CA Bizertin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.36
Over 2.5
27%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.81
No
72%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
50%
1.89
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
9%
7.5
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.89 — our 50% vs market 45.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
28%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.0pp
37%
Draw
28%
+8.9pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.1pp
73%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.8pp
27%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.8pp
28%
BTTS Yes
32%
-3.9pp
72%
BTTS No
68%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zarzis v CA Bizertin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zarzis EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 18%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.25
-23% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 5.5
POST-MATCH Zarzis vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zarzis squeezed past CA Bizertin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zarzis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (72%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Zarzis vs CA Bizertin?

Zarzis 1-0 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zarzis vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zarzis 44%, draw 37%, CA Bizertin 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zarzis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zarzis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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