EGS Gafsa 2-0 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.5
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY US Tataouine
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.05.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 3-1 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN
02.03.2024 US Tataouine US Tataouine 1-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EGS Gafsa got the better of US Tataouine 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had EGS Gafsa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for EGS Gafsa and 1.00 for US Tataouine.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs US Tataouine?

EGS Gafsa 2-0 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated a EGS Gafsa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 44%, draw 30%, US Tataouine 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EGS Gafsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EGS Gafsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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