Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.26
Over 2.5
32%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.81
No
66%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.7
2-3 Goals
42%
2.01
4-5 Goals
13%
9.52
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.6pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
76%
-7.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
24%
+7.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+2.7pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +127%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
0W-1D-5L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 2.09
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 Passes 442
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-2 HT 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
10.03.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
24.02.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 HT 0-2 ES Tunis ES Tunis AŞL
25.11.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel AŞL
10.06.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
25.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis beat Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 1.50 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis?

Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 25%, draw 25%, ES Tunis 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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