ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel Prediction — Model Probabilities
ES Tunis v Etoile Du Sahel — Team-Based Signals
ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
ES Tunis 3-2 Etoile Du Sahel — Actual Match Statistics
ES Tunis shaded a tight game against Etoile Du Sahel 3-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (67%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, ES Tunis had 76% of the ball to Etoile Du Sahel's 24%, shots finished 8-3.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ES Tunis and 0.17 for Etoile Du Sahel.
ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel Result & Final Score
ES Tunis 3 - 2 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - Ligue 1 Promotion/Relegation on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 71%, draw 22%, Etoile Du Sahel 7%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.