ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Tunis v Etoile Du Sahel — Team-Based Signals
ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Etoile Du Sahel
AŞL
0-0
HT 0-0
ES Tunis
TUN
1-0
HT 0-0
Etoile Du Sahel
TUN
1-2
HT 0-1
ES Tunis
TUN1A
ES Tunis 3-2 Etoile Du Sahel — Actual Match Statistics
ES Tunis squeezed past Etoile Du Sahel 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, ES Tunis had 76% of the ball to Etoile Du Sahel's 24%, shots finished 8-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ES Tunis and 0.17 for Etoile Du Sahel.
What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel?
ES Tunis 3-2 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel?
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 59%, draw 27%, Etoile Du Sahel 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.