Ben Guerdane 1-1 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
1.88
2-3 Goals
31%
1.89
4-5 Goals
14%
7.44
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.4pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.2pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.87/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.21/0.50
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +114%
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CA Bizertin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 2-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
14.06.2022 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TNUSK
18.04.2022 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
21.11.2021 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-2 HT 1-2 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1A
19.05.2021 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
07.02.2021 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-1 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ben Guerdane
1-1
AWAY CA Bizertin
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ben Guerdane and CA Bizertin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Ben Guerdane had 58% of the ball to CA Bizertin's 42%, shots finished 7-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Bizertin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ben Guerdane and 1.00 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs CA Bizertin?

Ben Guerdane 1-1 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 39%, draw 29%, CA Bizertin 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ben Guerdane), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ben Guerdane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN More Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme
12 May 2024
17:00 AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui Analysis →
17:00 Olympique Beja vs US Tataouine Analysis →
19:30 ES Tunis vs Etoile Du Sahel Analysis →