EGS Gafsa 3-1 US Tataouine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.6
No
68%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
13%
5.26
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.32 — our 37% vs market 36.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
34%
-1.9pp
68%
BTTS No
66%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EGS Gafsa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY US Tataouine
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2024 US Tataouine US Tataouine 1-0 HT 0-0 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EGS Gafsa got the better of US Tataouine 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had EGS Gafsa as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs US Tataouine?

EGS Gafsa 3-1 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs US Tataouine?

Before kick-off our model rated a EGS Gafsa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 57%, draw 26%, US Tataouine 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EGS Gafsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EGS Gafsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN More Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme
26 May 2024
17:30 Ben Guerdane vs ES Metlaoui Analysis →
17:30 AS Marsa vs Olympique Beja Analysis →
17:30 AS Slimane vs CA Bizertin Analysis →