Oleksandria 1-0 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.4pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.25/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.99
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Polessya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.03.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-2 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
02.11.2023 Polessya Polessya 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKRK
26.08.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-3 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria squeezed past Polessya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oleksandria and 1.33 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Polessya?

Oleksandria 1-0 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 42%, draw 28%, Polessya 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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