Vorskla Poltava 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.9pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.99/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.86
-12% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-2 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
07.10.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
29.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
19.11.2022 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-2 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
24.09.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
24.04.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 3-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava
0-1
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
1 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka edged past Vorskla Poltava 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kolos Kovalivka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 1-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 1.00 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Vorskla Poltava 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 36%, draw 27%, Kolos Kovalivka 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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