Boston River 3-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.48/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.05
+24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.06.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
27.04.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
03.12.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
06.05.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
05.09.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.07.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River ran out comfortable winners over Cerro Largo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Boston River found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boston River and 1.33 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Cerro Largo?

Boston River 3-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boston River 38%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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