Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-3
HT 0-2
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
0-4
HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) nicked a narrow win over Progreso 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 70% of the ball to Progreso's 30%, shots finished 11-6.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso?
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 46%, draw 24%, Progreso 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.