Degerfors 1-1 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Nov 2025

Degerfors
1-1 HT 0-0
Hammarby
📅03/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Degerfors vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
22.7
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
10%
7.01
X/2
16%
5.05
X/X
11%
5.31
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
20%
2.86
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.31/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.25
-23% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
23.9 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Degerfors vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hammarby
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.35 xG 1.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 451
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2025 Hammarby Hammarby 1-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
25.05.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
02.04.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
22.08.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 5-1 HT 2-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
21.04.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
21.11.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 1-4 HT 0-2 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ

Degerfors 1-1 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
1-1
AWAY Hammarby
0.68 xG 0.95
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
175 Passes 504
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors and Hammarby couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Degerfors had 30% of the ball to Hammarby's 70%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.68 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Degerfors and 2.67 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Hammarby?

Degerfors 1-1 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 29%, draw 23%, Hammarby 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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