IFK Varnamo 0-5 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
58%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.29
1/2
7%
19.65
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
7%
11.15
X/2 EV+ ✗
25%
4.25
X/X
8%
6.6
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
26%
1.92
2/X
4%
14.95
Value flag · X/2 at 4.25 — our 25% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
58%
Away Win
60%
-2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 64%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.11/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.14
+6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 84%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
18.4 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mjallby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
430 Passes 416
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2025 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
25.09.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
02.06.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
01.10.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 2-3 HT 2-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
10.04.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.10.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-5
AWAY Mjallby
0.55 xG 4.36
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 7
314 Passes 457
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 44
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby cruised past IFK Varnamo 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 43% of the ball to Mjallby's 57%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 0.55 to 4.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.50 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby?

IFK Varnamo 0-5 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 22%, draw 20%, Mjallby 58%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5
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