Al Duhail SC 4-1 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 43%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.30/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.30
+55% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
15.6 Crosses 20.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
4-1
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
2.38 xG 1.27
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
390 Passes 282
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC swept aside Shabab Al Ahli 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Al Ahli at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 58% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 42%, shots finished 24-15, expected goals 2.38 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Duhail SC 4-1 Shabab Al Ahli in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 32%, draw 23%, Shabab Al Ahli 46%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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