Nasaf Qarshi 1-2 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.96
1/2 EV+ ✓
12%
21.75
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
9%
8.32
X/2
16%
4.67
X/X
8%
5.44
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.44
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.75 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
50%
Away Win
50%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasaf Qarshi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 55%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-73% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.2 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasaf Qarshi
1-2
AWAY Al Wahda
0.92 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 403
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda nicked a narrow win over Nasaf Qarshi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Wahda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nasaf Qarshi had 48% of the ball to Al Wahda's 52%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.92 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Wahda?

Nasaf Qarshi 1-2 Al Wahda in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nasaf Qarshi 29%, draw 22%, Al Wahda 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wahda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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