Freiburg (K) 2-4 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 3 Nov 2025

Freiburg (K)
2-4 HT 0-2
RB Leipzig (K)
📅03/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-1.3pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v RB Leipzig (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.60/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
+59% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.5 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.12 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
323 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2025 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
20.10.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
27.01.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB

Freiburg (K) 2-4 RB Leipzig (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
2-4
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.88 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
341 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) beat Freiburg (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 51% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 49%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.88 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Freiburg (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Freiburg (K) and 0.67 for RB Leipzig (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Freiburg (K) 2-4 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 51%, draw 25%, RB Leipzig (K) 24%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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