Operario PR 2-2 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
6.47
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.13/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.13
-13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
25.2 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Vila Nova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
21.08.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 2-3 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
05.05.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
01.10.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 1-1 HT 1-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
17.06.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
29.09.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
2-2
AWAY Vila Nova
2.35 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
27 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
270 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 10
38 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Vila Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR and Vila Nova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Operario PR at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Operario PR had 56% of the ball to Vila Nova's 44%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 2.35 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Operario PR and 1.17 for Vila Nova.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Vila Nova?

Operario PR 2-2 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Vila Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 44%, draw 30%, Vila Nova 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Operario PR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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