Operario PR vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Operario PR v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Operario PR vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Operario PR
BR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Operario PR
BR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Operario PR
BR2
Operario PR 2-3 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova squeezed past Operario PR 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Operario PR at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Operario PR had 53% of the ball to Vila Nova's 47%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.51 to 0.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured Operario PR.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Operario PR and 1.00 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Operario PR vs Vila Nova?
Operario PR 2-3 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 46%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.