Gil Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.45
Over
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.06
2-3
44%
1.8
4-5
16%
5.85
6+
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.86
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.15
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
10%
7.59
X/X
15%
3.54
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
8%
6.88
2/X
5%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.8pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara The Market 27%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.24
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.2 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.31
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
402 Passes 187
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
25.10.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
06.05.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-2 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
29.12.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
06.02.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-2 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
29.08.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
1-0
AWAY Santa Clara
0.61 xG 0.55
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
270 Passes 455
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 13
5 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente squeezed past Santa Clara 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gil Vicente as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 37% of the ball to Santa Clara's 63%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.61 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.50 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara?

Gil Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 47%, draw 30%, Santa Clara 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5
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