Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

Gil Vicente
0-1 HT 0-1
Santa Clara
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.29
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
15%
5.13
X/2
13%
5.36
X/X
13%
3.38
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.42
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gil Vicente v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.46/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.10
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.9 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.28
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
372 Passes 203
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
06.05.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-2 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
29.12.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
06.02.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-2 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
29.08.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
20.02.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR

Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
0-1
AWAY Santa Clara
0.68 xG 0.66
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
485 Passes 204
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara squeezed past Gil Vicente 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 67% of the ball to Santa Clara's 33%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.68 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.33 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara?

Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 42%, draw 27%, Santa Clara 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gil Vicente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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