Çaykur Rizespor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Çaykur Rizespor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Çaykur Rizespor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
2-0
HT 1-0
Çaykur Rizespor
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Çaykur Rizespor nicked a narrow win over Fatih Karagümrük 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 62% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 38%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.05 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Çaykur Rizespor's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.17 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 52%, draw 26%, Fatih Karagümrük 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.