Fatih Karagümrük 4-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.26
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
19%
4.99
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
9%
4.38
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.57/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.76
+56% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
17.8 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.90 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
15.01.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
21.08.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
03.04.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
06.12.2020 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 HT 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
4-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.67 xG 0.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
380 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük cruised past Çaykur Rizespor 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 55% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 45%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.67 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 0.40 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Fatih Karagümrük 4-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 44%, draw 26%, Çaykur Rizespor 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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