Sivasspor 1-0 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.49
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
15%
6.16
X/2
12%
4.83
X/X
16%
4.38
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.2
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.44/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.31
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.7 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
231 Passes 392
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
04.02.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
29.08.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 3-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.02.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
02.10.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
20.04.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-0
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.71 xG 1.20
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
143 Passes 474
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 27
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor edged past Beşiktaş 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Sivasspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sivasspor had 28% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 72%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.71 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Beşiktaş.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sivasspor and 1.67 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş?

Sivasspor 1-0 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 32%, draw 32%, Beşiktaş 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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