Fenerbahçe 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
21%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.38
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
26.5
X/1
21%
3.4
X/2
6%
25.0
X/X
6%
8.82
2/1
9%
23.45
2/2
6%
19.6
2/X
5%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-11.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
2.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.13
+20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
20.7 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
5W-0D-1L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.13 xG 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
425 Passes 239
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
15.04.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
17.10.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-3 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
08.05.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
18.01.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
15.02.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
2-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.88 xG 0.89
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
473 Passes 253
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe edged past MKE Ankaragücü 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 62% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 38%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.88 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.83 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Fenerbahçe 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 64%, draw 19%, MKE Ankaragücü 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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