Konyaspor 2-3 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Jan 2024

Konyaspor
2-3 HT 2-0
Başakşehir FK
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Konyaspor vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.5
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.18
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
9%
5.59
X/2
12%
5.08
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.65
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Konyaspor v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.14/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.24
-26% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.0 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Konyaspor vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
376 Passes 462
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
29.01.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
15.08.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
22.02.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
22.08.2021 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.03.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL

Konyaspor 2-3 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
2-3
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.09 xG 2.06
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
184 Passes 441
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK nicked a narrow win over Konyaspor 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Başakşehir FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 34% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 66%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.09 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Konyaspor and 1.00 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Konyaspor 2-3 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 36%, draw 26%, Başakşehir FK 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5
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