Kanada (K) 5-1 Güney Kore (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.37/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.62
-32% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
470 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.5
20.8 Crosses 10.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
5-1
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
1.52 xG 0.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
426 Passes 254
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Güney Kore (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) cruised past Güney Kore (K) 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kanada (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 59% of the ball to Güney Kore (K)'s 41%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.52 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Kanada (K) 5-1 Güney Kore (K) in the Friendlies on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 63%, draw 22%, Güney Kore (K) 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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