Romanya (K) 1-2 Arnavutluk (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.33
Over 2.5
40%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
39%
+20.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
61%
-20.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.4pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutluk (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+62% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya (K)
1-2
AWAY Arnavutluk (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Romanya (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk (K) nicked a narrow win over Romanya (K) 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Romanya (K) at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Romanya (K) had 52% of the ball to Arnavutluk (K)'s 48%, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Romanya (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)?

Romanya (K) 1-2 Arnavutluk (K) in the Friendlies on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Romanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Romanya (K) 64%, draw 22%, Arnavutluk (K) 15%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Romanya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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