Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Swarovski Tirol — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
0-2
HT 0-0
Sturm Graz
AVU
2-1
HT 2-1
Swarovski Tirol
AVU
Sturm Graz 1-3 Swarovski Tirol — Actual Match Statistics
Swarovski Tirol beat Sturm Graz 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 52% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 48%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 0.62 to 3.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.50 for Swarovski Tirol.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol?
Sturm Graz 1-3 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Swarovski Tirol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 53%, draw 24%, Swarovski Tirol 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz), Under 2.5 went the other way.