Vasco da Gama 0-2 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 3 Dec 2025

Vasco da Gama
0-2 HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
📅03/12/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.86
6+ Goals
12%
17.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.86 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.03
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
11%
4.85
X/2
10%
6.91
X/X
9%
4.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
18%
5.22
2/X
9%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.5pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vasco da Gama v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.44/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.32
+24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
25.5 Crosses 21.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.30 xG 1.14
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
552 Passes 313
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.08.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-2 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1

Vasco da Gama 0-2 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
0-2
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.66 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
367 Passes 372
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 8
40 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC saw off Vasco da Gama 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mirassol FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 51% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 49%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.66 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol FC?

Vasco da Gama 0-2 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 40%, draw 26%, Mirassol FC 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
3 Dec 2025
03:30 Gremio vs Fluminense Analysis →