Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 1-2 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Gremio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Fluminense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gremio had 55% of the ball to Fluminense's 45%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.73 to 1.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio 1-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gremio 38%, draw 28%, Fluminense 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.