Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Fluminense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 2-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio edged past Fluminense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Gremio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gremio had 40% of the ball to Fluminense's 60%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.34 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gremio and 0.50 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio 2-1 Fluminense in the Copa Libertadores on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gremio 40%, draw 33%, Fluminense 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.