Colo Colo 1-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.83
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.15
X/1
15%
3.79
X/2
8%
8.35
X/X
20%
3.7
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
13%
7.65
2/X
5%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 24%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.96/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.48
-41% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
27.7 Crosses 11.2
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colo Colo
1-0
AWAY Junior
0.77 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
449 Passes 301
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colo Colo vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colo Colo squeezed past Junior 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Colo Colo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Colo Colo had 58% of the ball to Junior's 42%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.77 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Colo Colo vs Junior?

Colo Colo 1-0 Junior in the Copa Libertadores on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colo Colo vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colo Colo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Colo Colo 40%, draw 33%, Junior 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colo Colo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colo Colo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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