Fluminense vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Fluminense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
Fluminense 2-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense nicked a narrow win over Gremio 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fluminense had 53% of the ball to Gremio's 47%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.45 to 1.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fluminense and 1.67 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense 2-1 Gremio in the Copa Libertadores on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 47%, draw 27%, Gremio 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.