Atletico Mineiro vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Mineiro v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Mineiro vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
CON CSA
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Mineiro
CON CSA
Atletico Mineiro 1-0 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro squeezed past San Lorenzo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 64% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 36%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.98 to 0.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.67 for San Lorenzo.
What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs San Lorenzo?
Atletico Mineiro 1-0 San Lorenzo in the Copa Libertadores on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs San Lorenzo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 52%, draw 26%, San Lorenzo 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.