Fluminense vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Fluminense
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 2-2 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense and Gremio shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fluminense had 63% of the ball to Gremio's 37%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.42 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fluminense and 1.67 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense 2-2 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 41%, draw 27%, Gremio 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.