Fluminense vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 1-0 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Gremio 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fluminense had 56% of the ball to Gremio's 44%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.56 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fluminense's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fluminense and 1.83 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense 1-0 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 51%, draw 26%, Gremio 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.