Botafogo 0-2 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 3 Aug 2025

Botafogo
0-2 HT 0-2
Cruzeiro
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Botafogo vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.18
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
8%
6.6
X/X
8%
3.8
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
17%
5.4
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +23%
1.45/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.23
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +70%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.8 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Botafogo vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
303 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 0-3 HT 0-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
14.04.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 3-2 HT 1-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
04.12.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
07.08.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
13.10.2021 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR2
10.07.2021 Botafogo Botafogo 3-3 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2

Botafogo 0-2 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
0-2
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.76 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
411 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro saw off Botafogo 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Botafogo had 56% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.76 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botafogo and 1.50 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Cruzeiro?

Botafogo 0-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 45%, draw 25%, Cruzeiro 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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