Cruzeiro vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR2
3-3
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
Cruzeiro 3-2 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro edged past Botafogo 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 56% of the ball to Botafogo's 44%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.65 to 2.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.50 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?
Cruzeiro 3-2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 42%, draw 31%, Botafogo 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.