Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-2 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
65%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.7pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.2pp
65%
Away Win
80%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
190 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-0 HT 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
26.11.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-2 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S2-K
26.02.2017 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1-2
AWAY Kocaelispor
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor squeezed past Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 41% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 59%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 1.33 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Kocaelispor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-2 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 18%, draw 17%, Kocaelispor 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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